Texas vs. Florida Population Growth: Rates, Counts and Migration

Texas and Florida both grew in 2025, but the answer to “which grew more?” depends on whether you mean residents added, percentage change or a five-year interval.

Downtown Austin buildings under a blue sky

Texas added more residents in the latest annual interval

Texas reached 31,709,821 residents on July 1, 2025, adding 391,243 since July 2024. Florida reached 23,462,518, adding 196,680. Texas’s increase was 194,563 residents larger. Its latest percentage growth was 1.25%, compared with Florida’s 0.85%.

The two states together added 587,923 residents. That equals 33.01% of the national net increase for the same interval. This contribution is a ratio to national net growth; it should not be interpreted as the share of all U.S. moves or all new residents arriving from abroad.

The five-year comparison changes the question

Between July 2020 and July 2025, Texas added 2,471,926 residents, or 8.45%. Florida added 1,871,193, or 8.67%. The indexed chart puts both starting populations at 100 so the relative paths can be read on the same scale.

Raw population and indexed population answer different questions. Texas begins with more residents, so a raw chart emphasizes level differences. An index removes that level difference while preserving relative growth. Neither view should mix an April census count with a July estimate and describe it as the same exact interval.

Natural change and migration distinguish the two totals

Texas’s source-published natural change was 157,711 in the latest interval. Florida’s was -1,333. Net domestic migration was 67,299 for Texas and 22,517 for Florida. Net international migration was 167,475 and 178,674 respectively.

These are net components, rather than counts of every arrival. Residents can enter and leave both states during the same interval. Natural change is births minus deaths, and the published residual also belongs in a complete reconciliation. The component numbers do not establish why people chose either state or whether a policy caused the difference.

How to make the comparison reusable

A research comparison should preserve the state codes, the July 1 dates, the source vintage and the selected metric. Our comparison link below identifies Texas as state:48 and Florida as state:12, fixes the years at 2020–2025 and pins source snapshot pep-2025-r1. A later Census vintage can revise earlier years without changing this archived file.

State totals cover all residents in the state boundary. A large metro crossing a state line is a different geography; its whole population cannot be assigned to each state. For local planning, open the county directories from the state profiles and select non-overlapping county units rather than adding city and county totals together.

Population data behind the analysis

Download this table · CSV

Texas and Florida: compatible July population and 2024–2025 components. Displayed growth rates use two decimals; calculations and the CSV retain unrounded values. A dash marks an unavailable comparison, rather than zero.

Texas and Florida: compatible July population and 2024–2025 components
State2024 population2025 populationResidents addedAnnual growth (%)Natural changeNet domestic migrationNet international migrationResidual
Texas31,318,57831,709,821391,2431.25157,71167,299167,475-1,242
Florida23,265,83823,462,518196,6800.85-1,33322,517178,674-3,178

Explore the population series

Switch between exact resident populations and an index that starts every series at 100 in July 2020. Every observation uses the same PEP vintage; the index changes the scale, not the underlying population.

Sources, methods and reproducibility

Original sources used in this article:

Annual observations use July 1, 2020–2025 resident populations from the frozen pep-2025-r1 snapshot. Latest components cover the interval ending June 30, 2025. Source observations were retrieved September 30, 2026; this data edition is dated September 30, 2026. Original census counts and estimates bases are explicitly labeled where discussed. Article computations and exports use editorial-v1.

Calculated growth uses a positive starting denominator. Density uses compatible 2025 land area and unrounded source values. These estimates have no source-supplied ACS-style margins of error. The article describes the displayed statistical comparisons; it does not establish causes of migration or produce an official forecast. See methods and report a data correction.

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